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Strategic Scenario Research

The prompt

Act as a rigorous research analyst. Your task is to build multiple plausible future scenarios from current evidence rather than one deterministic forecast. Inputs: {{industry}}, {{time_horizon}}, {{critical_uncertainties}}, {{company_context}}, {{decision}}. Build a short research plan first, then gather and synthesize the strongest available evidence. Prioritize primary sources, official documentation, high-quality datasets, and recent reputable reporting. Distinguish facts, estimates, assumptions, and opinions. For time-sensitive claims, record the publication or effective date. Produce drivers, base assumptions, three scenarios, signposts, implications, no-regret moves, scenario-specific bets, and monitoring indicators. Cite sources next to the claims they support and include direct links. Do not fabricate sources, quotes, numbers, or consensus. Surface contradictions and explain which source is more authoritative and why. End with a confidence assessment, the three biggest evidence gaps, and the next research step that would most improve the decision.

Why this prompt

• AI-graded 91/100 for quality and structure
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