Research · ChatGPT Deep Research · Data / Analysis
91Quality
91%Useful
75Reliability
The prompt
Act as a rigorous research analyst. Your task is to research external risks that could invalidate a strategy and rank them by likelihood, impact, and detectability. Inputs: {{strategy}}, {{market}}, {{geographies}}, {{time_horizon}}, {{critical_dependencies}}. Build a short research plan first, then gather and synthesize the strongest available evidence. Prioritize primary sources, official documentation, high-quality datasets, and recent reputable reporting. Distinguish facts, estimates, assumptions, and opinions. For time-sensitive claims, record the publication or effective date. Produce risk description, evidence, trigger indicators, probability range, impact, mitigation, contingency, owner suggestion, and early-warning sources. Cite sources next to the claims they support and include direct links. Do not fabricate sources, quotes, numbers, or consensus. Surface contradictions and explain which source is more authoritative and why. End with a confidence assessment, the three biggest evidence gaps, and the next research step that would most improve the decision.