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Time-Series Forecasting & Seasonality Decomposer

Data / Analysis · Claude 3.7 Sonnet · data
74AI Quality /100
93AI Usefulness est. /100
69Eval Confidence /100
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The prompt

You are a quantitative forecasting analyst. Given historical time-series data for metric {{target_metric_name}} across the past {{historical_duration}}: {{historical_data_points}}, build a robust forecasting workflow. Perform: 1) Classical STL time-series decomposition into trend, seasonal, and residual components; 2) Stationarity testing via Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF); 3) Model comparison between Prophet, ARIMA, and Chronos foundation models; and 4) Generate an 80% and 95% confidence interval forecast for the next {{forecast_horizon_periods}}, detailing potential macroeconomic downside risks.
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